A-Infos (en) Italy, UCADI #169: PEACE (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

Peace has broken out. Under the patronage and with Chinese mediation, talks were 
held in Beijing between the delegations of the Islamic Republic of Iran and Saudi 
Arabia which led to the restoration of diplomatic relations between the two 
countries, interrupted in 2016 . The rapprochement between the leading states, 
respectively of the Sunni-Wahhabi component and of the Shiite-theocratic 
component of Islamism, can profoundly change the policies within the Islamic 
world and deserves a careful analysis that highlights the various factors that 
have led the parties to the agreement. ---- The Islamic Republic is going through 
one of the most difficult phases in its history, undermined by an internal revolt 
that questions the regime's principles and ideology, denounces its corruption and 
undermines its social base. The protest movement born in response to the 
repression that began in September continues even if the Western media have 
silenced the new brutal attacks against female students fighting for their rights 
and fail to denounce the use of gas against them by paramilitary groups well 
known to the regime. Nonetheless, the political and economic causes of the crisis 
have not disappeared and the regime needs to break the opposition front by 
pacifying relations with the Sunni component and its clergy, present in the 
country, who have lined up in support of the protest.
If these reasons are added to those of foreign policy relating to the adoption of 
converging and agreed policies on energy (extraction and prices of gas and oil) 
in this delicate phase of the world economy, the common interest is that of 
giving way to a economic-political area of Islamic countries that faces a common 
front in a multipolar world of large opposing blocks that is taking shape.
In our opinion, this common goal is precisely the main reason that prompted Saudi 
Arabia to reach the agreement, but the cost of the ongoing conflicts between the 
two components of Islamism has weighed and weighs for both countries, conflicts 
which have benefited Israel and made Anglo-American interests prevail in the 
control of the Middle East, torn apart by internal wars and divisions.
China has cleverly inserted itself into this accumulation of interests and has 
made its own promise of investments and the application of its policy of building 
and making infrastructures available for countries that agree to relate to its 
economy. On the other hand, China needs constant and privileged access to energy 
sources and therefore both Iranian and Saudi oil: the gas and oil produced by the 
two countries are coveted by China, also because Iranian and Saudi production 
Saudi Arabia takes place in territories closer to the Asian country and allows 
the construction of oil and gas pipelines which, starting from the fields, will 
be able to directly serve the Chinese territory.
But there is more: the agreement mends relations within the Islamic world and 
could potentially lead to the cooling of the ongoing conflicts in this area, 
starting with that of Yemen, and then moving on to the Lebanese and Syrian areas, 
loosening the grip on these territories by the United States and Israel, 
containing Turkish expansionism, a dangerous competitor for the two Islamic 
countries. Furthermore, in a now multipolar world where, as the war in Ukraine 
demonstrates, possession and access to nuclear weapons is an essential guarantee 
of autonomy and security, power - even if in perspective - access to nuclear 
weapons is considered a guarantee and Iran, it should not be forgotten, is one 
step away from possessing nuclear weapons and could easily have suitable delivery 
systems.
These are the possible reasons for the agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia 
which must be watched carefully and promise unforeseeable, but certainly 
important consequences on the international arena, capable of undermining the 
hegemonic project of the United States which at the moment is the main objective 
of politics Chinese foreign exchange, which, moving with prudence and foresight, 
aims to create the widest possible conditions of a multipolar world.
This policy is demonstrated by the strengthening of the BRICS area of which China 
is a part and in which it plays an important role.
The importance and consequences of the success of this strategy are unequivocal 
and reside in the strength of the countries that are part of the BRICS which all 
abstained from voting on Russia's motion to condemn the war in Ukraine and 
together hold 40% of GDP and world trade.

http://www.ucadi.org/2023/03/22/pace-%d8%b3%d9%84%d9%85/
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