A-Infos (en) wsm.ie: All Polls shows Yes lead for Repeal but it could still be close if previous patterns hold

Two new opinions polls were out Sunday morning on next Fridays referendum to remove the 
hated 8th amendment to the constitution that equates the life of a woman with that of a 
foetus. Both this mornings polls are good news for the Yes to Repeal campaign with an 
increased Yes vote since the same companies' previous polls. ---- The Red C poll shows a 
3% increase for Yes, 1% increase for No since their last poll. ---- The B&A poll shows a 
5% increase for Yes to 52% with 5% fall for No to 24%. With Don't Knows excluded, this is 
63% Yes 32% No. ---- The MRBI poll published by the Irish Times on Thursday wasn't so 
good, it had a 5% drop for Yes in comparison with their previous polls, suggesting a very 
much tighter 58% Yes, 42% No vote. ---- What is important when looking at these polls if 
not the date they were published but rather the dates data was collected over. All 3 polls 
have collecting periods overlap (see graphic). The MRBI was collected over a short 2-day 
period 14/15 May and has the worst result for Together for Yes . The B&A poll was 
collected over a long 12 day period and appears to have the best result for Yes. The Red C 
poll was collected over 6 days and with don't knows excluded has the same result at the 
B&A one.

As the polls overlap we have to consider that all three are correct even though the 
numbers differ. B&A and RedC are similar when Don't Knows are excluded but MRBI is 
radically worse for Yes. As MRBI collected towards the end of the period it MIGHT be 
showing a sudden No swing although we consider this unlikely. Its more likely that the 
difference reflects long standing differences in polling methodology.

When we adjust each polling companies results by how far out that company was on the 2015 
Marriage Equality referendum vote its the Red C poll that gives Yes a clear win, the other 
two would be too close to call. Why?

With their weekend before Marriage Equality poll B&A had
Yes 63
No 26
Don't Know 11

BUT result was
Yes 62
No 38

So ALL B&A Don't Know went to No in that Marriage Equality referendum and so did some yes 
votes. If the same happened on May 25th the Yes would only have 51%, way too close to call.
https://www.wsm.ie/c/repeal-8th-warning-marriage-equality-poll-comparison

This isn't intended as a prediction, just an illustration that Don't Knows might break 
very heavily for NO and in that case 2 of these 3 polls say its still too close to call 
while just one is a Yes win.

In other words while the polls are good news for Yes its all still to play for in the 
final few days. At this stage getting out the Yes vote is going to be central as in a 
close result who votes could decide it. eg Over 65s are most likely to vote and are 
heavily No, this age group was key to Brexit passing in the UK.

There remains a sharp urban rural divide so a sunny day in the west and heavy rain in 
Dublin could have a big impact. If your a Yes vote make sure you actually vote and spend 
the week talking to other Yes voters encouraging them out too. We can win this but its not 
yet won.

Here are our 8 reasons we are voting Yes to Repeal the hated 8th 
https://www.wsm.ie/c/8-reasons-vote-yes-to-repeal

17 May - Its just over a week before Ireland will have a referendum to remove the clause 
in the constitution the equates the life of a women with that of a foetus. The Irish 
Times/MRBI have published a poll showing Yes has a 16 point lead over No with one week to 
go to the referendum. The detail of the poll also reveals a surprisingly large soft No 
vote still exists. 22-35% of No voters should be voting Yes according to their opinions on 
wanting more abortion access for women.

But we also continue to warn that if a similar last minute drop in support fort Yes 
happened as occurred with the Marriage Equality referendum the strong lead in this poll 
would reduce so that the vote was too close to call. In other words there should be no 
room for complacency, its likely every vote will count as happened with the 1995 divorce 
referendum which pass with a tiny margin of 50.28% Yes, equivalent to a couple of votes 
per ballot box.

No still has a significant soft vote with;
A. 35% of No voters feel access to abortion up to 12 weeks on request is a reasonable 
compromise. Presumably because they know proving rape cannot be made conditional on 
accessing abortion - trial take weeks, not months and conviction rates are low. The recent 
Belfast trial is probably in many peoples minds. But 12 weeks on request can't happen 
without a Yes vote to Repeal, its completely impossible with the 8th in place.
B. 22% of No voters say the law needs to change to recognise a women's right to choose to 
have an abortion. This is a VERY soft No indeed as clearly Repeal the 8th has to happen to 
make this possible, there is no way this 22% should, be voting No while holding this opinion.

These detailed figures are available here https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll

Both these large soft No blocs suggest that if people fully understood the referendum and 
the implications of a No vote as a continuation of cruel regime of the 8th then there 
should be at least a 10% switch from No to Yes with the referendum then passing 63% Yes to 
39% No. This may explain why No has fallen back on distrust, fear and confusion messaging 
along with trying to make referendum campaign as toxic as possible. They need not to allow 
the 22% to 35% soft No voters to consider the implications of a No victory.

Overall the Irish Times / MRBI poll has responses as follows
44 Yes
32 No
17 Don't Know
5 Won't Vote
2 Refused to say

The poll was collected Monday & Tuesday of this week, the controversial Clare Burns Live 
shows which has a strong No bias in speaker section and time was broadcast Monday night so 
No might have expected a much stronger showing in this poll as they were very loudly 
declaring a victory after than broadcast. This poll however shows no significant change in 
comparison with the KMB poll taken a couple of weeks beforehand.

Dublin remains strongly Repeal with Ulster/Connacht which has seen large scale suppression 
(tearing down) of Yes posters being the weakest, close to 50:50. It's also the smallest 
regional bloc of voters.

The detail of the poll also reveals that the Urban V Rural divide has close a lot during 
the campaign, according to this poll
Rural V Urban
Yes 39% V 46%
No 36% V 30%

Age remains the biggest dividing line, over 65s are the only group strongly intending to 
vote No
18 to 24 V 65+
Yes 52% V 30%
No 27% V 47%

Older voters won it for both Trump & Brexit, will the same happen here and the same sense 
of a betrayal of grand children's futures by their own grand parents - in this case where 
ether consequences don't even directly effect them? Talk kindly to your grandparents about 
this.

With this question its interesting that with the 65+ and 18-24 age groups the Don't Knows 
lean towards No strongly but all the in between age groups lean towards Yes. With the 65+ 
we can say this is the influence of clerical ideology over a life time. With the 18-24 
this is the group most likely to see the enormous No spend on misleading online adverts 
and which doesn't necessarily have the life experience to measure this against. In terms 
of voter mobilisation it may be that No's early contempt towards younger (student) voters 
may hurt them here.

The IT/MRBI last polled in April, this is the shift between their April poll and this one
April->This poll
Yes 47->44
No 28 ->32
DK 20->17
Won't vote 3->5
Won't say 1->2

It's unusual for Won't vote and Won't say figures to rise in the course of a referendum. 
This very much reflects the hate and fear messaging of the No campaign along with the 
widespread attempts to sow confusion and doubt. It's clearly scared some intending voters 
from voting and made others fearful of speaking. This also happened in 1983 leading to a 
tiny turnout of 53% on the day. No have been busy in the last few days setting the ground 
for declaring the referendum to be a fix, a low turnout would also help them in that 
respect so its useful to be aware that they are trying to engineer a low turnout. At times 
this has been blatant, as with releasing press releases saying colleges should not close 
on the 25th to allow students to vote.

A lot of people are very sure of how they will vote, this is obviously good for Yes and 
bad for No as it suggests the pool of voters who can be shifted is not large. Yes has very 
much larger canvass teams so they are much more likely to be able to sway this pool in the 
final week.
65% never change
22% extremely unlikely
9% unlikely but open
4% possibly

We presume there will be at least another 2 polls out in next few days if all major 
polling companies are polling. The MRBI 'weekend before' poll was closest to being correct 
for the Marriage Equality Referendum result, more on this important comparison for the 
previous polls and how we do this calculation

That said in bad news for No and going somewhat against our Marriage Equality ref 
comparison more Don't Knows are leaning to Yes than No

Lean Yes 31%
Lean No 24%
Not leaning 44%

But if we assume all No leaning Don't Knows become No votes this poll becomes one very 
close to what happened with MRBI and their Marriage Equality referendum polling, bringing 
us back towards a too close to call result. Again we say this is a warning and not as a 
prediction of actual outcome, there is far more for the No campaign to sweat over in this 
poll which is why they are preparing the ground for their defeat and claims of a rigged 
referendum.

Canvassing and leafletting for Yes is going to have a massive impact in the remaining week 
of campaigning. So too will talking to your friends, workmates and relatives. Divorce 
passed in 1995 by a tiny fraction and its looking like it could be very close for Repeal 
so do have those conversations. No want a low turnout, we want a high one so vote early on 
the 25th, and post to social media that you have done so to encourage others to do likewise.

20th April - Three additional opinion polls this April have shown that the anti-choice 
campaign has failed to reduce the number of people intending to repeal the 8th referendum 
at all, despite 3 months of frantic campaigning that has involved an enormous spend on 
misleading billboards, posters, online ads and glossy colour leaflets. With the Together 
for Yes campaign only gearing up last week this means the No may may well decrease between 
now and the referendum. However as our reports and analysis of these poles show the 
pro-choice Yes campaign cannot be complacent.

Two of these polls appeared on 28th and 29th April, the Daily Mail one had a very loaded 
to the No side question, the Red C seems to continue to over estimate the Yes relative to 
other polls.

The Red C poll in Sunday Business Post 29th April confirms little change against their 
previous poll since campaigns started in February.

No vote static at 26%,
Yes vote at 53% down 3% since last their poll but 3% is margin of error.
Don't Know up 3 to 19%
Won't vote static at 2%
The image above shows all 6 polls and demonstrate that despite Save the 8th & Love Both No 
campaigns spend of millions the No vote has not increase at all.

With Don't Know excluded that Sunday Business Post / Red C poll has

68% Yes
32% No
Note this is a higher Yes than that which other companies are finding but the Yes to No 
ratio has remained close to 2:1 in all polls, all variation appears to be down to the 
company polling with Red C polling yes the highest.

But please also read our we explanation of why Yes needs not to get complacent on the 
basis of our adjustment of polling figures on the basis of previous referendums and in 
particular Marriage Equality.

Sunday 22nd April saw the appearance of yet another opinion poll of the referendum to 
repeal the anti-choice amendment added to the constitution in 1983. As with all 5 opinion 
polls that have appeared during the campaign it showed little change at the national 
level, the strong lead for Yes remains. But when the full data was published Monday we had 
a look and discovered some interesting trends within it.

The Sunday Times teased everyone Saturday night with tweet pointing out the Dublin Yes had 
fallen 8%. They probably a sold a good few papers the next day off of it but in doing so 
they buried the lead that otherwise no significant change in voting intentions had 
occurred in comparison with their previous polls.

You can view this Behaviour & Attitudes poll reported in the Sunday Times. In this poll 
928 people were questioned meaning the margin of error is 3.3% error. Once that is taken 
into account we see the tiny changes in voting intentions are not significant despite what 
the Save 8th and Love Both spokes people initially tried to claim.

People were also asked if they supported unrestricted access to abortion in the first 12 
weeks of preganancy, the period in which the abortion pill can be used. Despite the No 
campaigns huge huge spend on misleading posters, billboards, online ads & leaflets there 
was no impact on voter attitudes on this question. There is certainly an argument that the 
Save the 8th campaign being caught multiple times with its dirty tricks campaign at the 
start of the campaign rightly did permanent credibility damage to the No side. There was 
also no change in attitudes to allowing abortion to protect womens health & where there is 
fatal foetal abnormality detected.

This 3rd B&A/ST poll was done from 15-17th April . This was right at the end of the period 
when only Vote No posters were up, and in considerable numbers. Since then the Together 
for Yes & other Repeal the 8th posters are appearing in increasing numbers. The failure of 
the anti-choice organisations to erode ‘soft Yes' votes when they were the most prominent 
voice by far is a serious setback for them. Now the question is whether the ‘soft No' vote 
will be eroded by arguments for compassion & protection of health as the referendum 
approaches in 5 weeks.

‘Soft No' votes can be understood as No voters who also want to protect womens health & 
allow abortion for fatal foetal abnormalities. Doing either however requires Repeal. The 
No campaign is in trouble here, this B&A poll on page 17 shows 33% of No voters want 
abortion in such cases & 11% don't know. In this context 44% of the No could be won to Yes 
by the Together for Yes campaign as it unfolds.

Pages 16+17 of this B&A poll shows that the ‘Soft Yes' is proportionately small, less than 
half as a proportion than the ‘Soft No' so even apart from their failure to date the 
anti-choice campaigns are in a weak position. To illustrate

For voters who intend to vote Yes to repeal some 12% are against unrestricted access to 12 
weeks and 8% don't know, so you could say 20% of the Yes vote was soft. On the allowing 
access to abortion in cases of fatal foetal abnormality and where the persons health is 
threatened some 9% of Yes voters are against and 5% don't know. This is a 13% ‘soft' vote

Here its worth noting that although the 3 months of (mostly No) campaign have not effected 
voting intentions on repeal pages 16 & 17 does show both Yes and No soft votes have 
reduced between February & April polling, presumably as people educate themselves on these 
topics.
Soft Yes i.e. against 12 weeks fell from 21% of Yes to 14%
Soft No i.e. for health & FFA fell from 49% of No to 44%

So as an exercise if we take soft votes into account the unrealistic worst cases, assuming 
all Don't Knows go against them as
Yes falls to 40% if all ‘soft yes' lost
No falls to 16% if all ‘soft no' lost

This sort of complete loss is very unlikely but this exercise demonstrates what a bad 
situation the anti-choice campaigns are in.

When you add the 2 other polls in the 3 month campaign period in (see image in 1st 
comment) and exclude Don't Knows we see some differences probably due to different MRBI 
and Red C methodology but confirmation across all these polls that there have been no 
major changes in voter intention at the national level. Including Don't Knows and Won't 
vote makes little difference, again there is very little change over the three months of 
campaigning.

But to warn against Yes complacency. The 1995 Divorce referendum was almost lost despite a 
strong showing at start when the Yes vote fell sharply in the last days of the campaign. 
That said the fall was between the polls before the campaign started with a big drop 
during the campaign itself. The three B&A polls above are all taken with the campaigns 
underway. There does seems to have been a small drop before the campaign started as 
recorded in the MRBI and Red C January polls. Divorce data from the Irish Political 
Ephemera page

We are going to move on to looking at the B&A/ST data on regional voting intentions & how 
much can be said about the data on voting intention by age, gender, 'social class' and 
political party support. This is complex so you may want to have a look at what we wrote 
comparing their previous two polls where we discuss the issues around doing this, in 
particular then increase in the margin of error.

The change in voting intentions by region from the 3 polls carried out by B&A/Sunday 
Times, February to April show the urban V rural divide collapsing. In other words the Yes 
falls in Dublin & other urban areas but this fall is balanced by a No fall in rural areas 
so that there is no overall change of significance.

Yes has shifted from being well ahead in Dublin & other urban areas to being well ahead 
everywhere
Even in Connacht/Ulster Yes is now 13% ahead
The reduced Dublin Yes lead is still 27% ahead
Overall the Rural Yes is now 14% ahead, it was 1% behind back in February

With all the sub group discussions its important to keep in mind that as group size 
decreases the margin of error increases substantially.

When to look at this poll by region, gender & social class we see strong variations here 
as with the previous two B&A polls but no significant movement between these polls. Repeal 
the 8th remains the choice of every group except the over 55s which are Save the 8th by 
4%, really with the margin of error included this makes them 50:50.

Another reminder that because these sub populations are small when looking at the raw B&A 
tables its important to keep an eye on sample size as what looks like a change may not be 
when margin of error for small sample is considered. For instance sequentially across the 
3 polls it looks like the under 35s No vote goes from 25 -> 18 -> 23 but a lot of this may 
be because the margin of error for that sub sample size would be plus/minus 6%. So the 
first month drop is real but the subsequent rise may not be. On the other hand the under 
35 Yes at 59% and No at 23% is a difference of 36%, many times the margin of error, so its 
real.

Keeping the margin of error in mind
-Yes does better than average with under 35s & ABC1s
- No does better than average with over 55s & C2DEs but pensioners are probably tilting 
that C2DE average towards No because of the over 55 effect. C2DEs are still voting Yes by 
a margin of 6%

A word of warning for Together 4 for Yes - when asked if they would vote in a general 
election (p31) 79% of the over 55s will definitely vote as against 60% of the under 34s. 
If the Yes vote falls and the referendum was close that higher over 55 turnout could 
defeat repeal the 8th. But of course intention to vote in an election isn't the same as 
intention to vote in a referendum - anarchists vote in referendum only rarely if at all in 
elections, see https://www.wsm.ie/elections for why

Finally we look at the ST/BA poll and the data on how the vote breaks down by political 
party. And here we see the reason for Fianna Fails self destructive opportunism of trying 
to ride both horses at once, their voters are split 50:50, 41:42 to be precise. Rural 
Fianna Fail will want to be visibly No but that could spell the doom for urban Fianna Fail 
who already face decimation from the growing urban Sinn Fein vote that is hovering up what 
used to be the Fianna Fail youth vote/

All the other parties have far more Yes voters, the lead of Yes over No for each of the 
major parties is
Fine Gael 24%
Labour 30%
Sinn Fein 30%

Of these Labour & Sinn Fein are both actively campaigning for Repeal while Fine Gael is 
halfhearted with little on the ground activity and an intended spend that is a fraction of 
Together for Yes. We may have forced the establishment to call a referendum but they 
certainly do not intend to win it for us, indeed a victory will be a defeat for the spot 
of politics of control they held for the last 90 years. And not too soon.

The Irish Times with MRBI published an opinion poll on the Repeal the 8th referendum 20th 
April that once more showed a strong Yes lead and a static No. It is the 6th poll of the 
year so we thought it useful to generate a side by side comparison of the Yes & No votes 
for all 6. The polls were carried out by MRBI, Red C and Behaviour & Attitudes.

20/April IT/MRBI

 poll has

Yes 47%
No 28%
Don't Know 20%
Won't vote 3%

With undecided excluded that come down to
63% Yes
to
37% No

With the chart above we eliminated undecided from all 6 polls.

Other significant finds from this mornings poll included;

A narrow majority of Fianna Fail votes favour repeal
39% Yes
37% No

This is very bad news for No campaigns as it suggests there will be no further opportunism 
from Fianna Fail TDs who might otherwise think campaigning for a No would damage their 
Fine Gael or Sinn Fein rivals. This is now only the case in some rural areas and the 
advantage would be small but the Fianna Fail party nationally would have to be conferenced 
that any further prominent opportunism from rural Tis would further damage their chances 
of an urban recovery rather than the permanent loss of seats to Sinn Fein. Fianna Fail did 
a press stunt yesterday where several party members appeared with a Together for Yes 
banner, cynically we suspect this was because they were forwarned of todays poll showing 
No had failed to gain.

Most importantly the Yes vote appears to be very very solid with 80% of Repeal voters 
saying they would never change their mind. Its probable the sheer toxicity and 
disinformation of the No campaign as well as the saturation coverage in terms of 
billboards and online ads has backfired and solidified the Yes vote.

Also of great significance undecideds are leaning 2:1 towards Repeal - this is unusual in 
a referendum where the assumption is that a majority of undecided would opt for the status 
quo and vote no.

If the two findings above are accurate the No campaign has no chance of winning on polling 
day. This along with their failure to significantly increase their share of the vote since 
February suggests outside of some major Yes mishap it's over for them.

In this MRBI poll voters also reported a high degree of knowledge of post referendum 
legislation - only 15% said they were unaware - and Repeal voters showed the highest level 
of knowledge. This means the No strategy of fake claims and misleading posters has not 
only failed but probably backfired and instead is motivating Yes voters and alienating 
undecided's.

But while there are strong grounds for optimism it's not over yet. Dangers include the 
attempts by No to make the campaign bitter and nasty, particularly in Dublin, to try and 
drive down turnout, particularly of younger voters. They probably hoped to provoke a 
response in kind from the Yes campaign but it has stayed focused on compassion and women's 
health.

The Irish Times headlined this as a slippage in the Yes vote in comparison with their 
January poll, something that is present until undecided are excluded when the apparent 
shift is then smaller than the margin of error. RED C showed a similar slippage between 
their January and March polls which we discussed in depth at 
https://www.wsm.ie/c/repeal-8th-opinion-polls-analysis but at this point we'd acknowledge 
that its likely there was a loss of soft Yes votes back then before there was significant 
campaigning.

The weakest point for Yes remains the 12 week unrestricted access which is why No will 
continue to try and centre that discussion and avoid the discussions being centred on 
protecting womens health and fatal foetal abnormality. There the No vote is very soft 
indeed, half of No voters in the B&A poll actually wanted abortion access in those cases, 
meaning No could lose half their vote if protecting women health becomes the main issue 
under discussion. The other half are the core 15% ‘let women die' - a figure that has 
remained constant for the last few years.

From their messaging its clear that the No campaign recognise that they are not likely to 
erode many Yes votes on the 12 week issue and the Irish Times poll confirms that. The 
percentage saying 12 weeks goes too far (41%) is almost identical with the percentage 
saying abortion is wrong and should not be more widely available. (40%). 56% said they had 
reservations on 12 weeks but it was a reasonable compromise. Presumably a recognition that 
there is no other way of providing abortion in the case of rape and that 12 weeks is the 
current reality in Ireland because its the end of the period where the abortion pill can 
be used. The abortion pill may be illegal right now but the reality is women are taking it 
every week and that usage is increasing. Unless the state starts prosecuting women for its 
use - and that would carry a 14 year jail sentence without repeal - women will continue to 
use it regardless of the outcome of the referendum. Most voters want these women to be 
able to access medical care with the risk of jail.

This mornings poll should have been the strongest by far figures for No campaign as they 
were organised to campaign earlier and are spending huge amounts on billboards & ads while 
#Together4Yes was still in the process of raising funds. Two weeks back No spokespeople on 
Twitter were crowing that the Yes campaign was nowhere to be seen - and this poll would 
have been collected in that period. Last week saw the enormous crowdfunding drive by 
Together for Yes with 550,000 being raised through over 10,000 small donations, many with 
names and indeed moving stories attached. Just who is funding the No campaign on the other 
hand is murky and unclear - its widely understood that huge quantities of dollars have 
flowed in over the last years because extreme US christian groups see Ireland as a key 
battleground in their ‘crusade'.

What has also been striking on Twitter is that the No canvass groups remain smaller and 
appear to have become less frequent, particularly in Dublin while the Together for Yes 
canvass groups have appeared everywhere, including rural areas that didn't see Marriage 
Equality canvassing and some of the groups are enormous. We've seen photos of canvass 
groups in individual Dublin constituencies that have had 50-70 people on them. We suspect 
the early start of the No campaign and the enormous amount of money they are spending on 
achieving saturation advertising everywhere from billboards to children's computer games 
has really motivated Repealers to donate and canvass. A massive rebellion against the 
hated 8th amendment is very much in full swing and the status quo looks like its going 
down to a major defeat, and not just in the cities.

These are the 4 polls carried out since Repeal 8th referendum was declared. They show the 
impact of campaigning, mostly of the No side as Together for Yes got underway later. So 
both anti-choice groups, Save the 8th and Love Both have had no real impact on voters 
despite the enormous spend on posters, billboards & online ads.

Incidentally we have seek the claim that todays MRBI poll was the first time the Yes vote 
when don't know are included fell below 50%. This claim is false, the yes vote was at 49% 
for both the B&A polls here, ie for the period of the campaign it has remained just under 
50% for all but one poll.

There was also a poll in the Daily Mail but because of the loaded way the question was 
phrased (opposite) to include unrestricted access to 12 weeksthis means its not comparable 
with these other polls.

That Daily Mail question is not standard. In fact its what reputable polling companies 
have been using to see how soft the Yes vote is.

Behaviour & Attitudes for instance ask how people intend to vote on the 8th as one 
question and what their attitude to 12 weeks as a follow on - in their April poll 47% are 
for Repeal but only 43% in favour of 12 weeks, the gap showing how important the question 
asked is.

To combine the two isn't just a loaded question, its most of the basis of the No campaign. 
It's why reputable polling companies also have a soft No question about protecting health 
& cases where foetus will not survive (FFA). So if you are paying for a poll and the 
question you pay for is set up as the Daily Mail poll was then in effect you are paying 
for a result. If NO canvassing teams are demoralised it might fool them to have some hope 
to keep going

In that context the Daily Mail reported

Yes 46%
No 31%
Don't Know 16%
Not Say 8%
Even in that context though when you account for margin of error and compare with their 
previous poll only this is the 7th poll to show the No campaign has had no significant impact

The polls to date

Pre-campaign

MRBI January - 
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/clear-majority-backs-abortion-on-request-up-to-12-weeks-poll-shows-1.3368816
Red C January - 
https://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/SBP-Jan-2018-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf
Polls during campaign

B&A February - http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-Report.pdf
B&A March - http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.8878-Sunday-Times-March-2018-Report.pdf

Red C March - 
http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/SBP-March-2018-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf
MRBI April - 
http://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/irish-times-poll-public-favour-repeal-of-eighth-despite-slip-in-support-1.3467503 
with a nice viewer of the data at https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll
B&A April - http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.9001-Sunday-Times-April-2018-Report.pdf
Red C April - 
http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/SBP-April-2018-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf

Author: Andrew N Flood

https://wsm.ie/c/polls-yes-repeal-referendum
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