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(en) avtonom: Two lessons of Venezuela by Michael Shraibman [machine translation]

Date Tue, 29 Jan 2019 07:38:27 +0200

Thanks to the terrible experience of Venezuela, we now have the ultimate knowledge - state socialism of the left, with the seizure of power by their party, with the nationalization of factories and plants, leads to a catastrophe in the economy even in the most favorable conditions. Even without civil war and without intervention. The Bolsheviks brought the richest country in South America, which has the largest oil reserves in the world, to hunger and inflation of one million percent. Without war and without sanctions (until 2017), in a country with a tropical climate, where you can shoot magnificent harvests, kilometer queues for chicken, milk and toilet paper are now standing.
The far-right Zhair Bolsonu won the election in Brazil, accusing his left opponent of being like-minded Nicolas Maduro (the master of Venezuela), and his opponent was so stupid that he didn't say no. What Venezuela today successfully exports to neighboring countries is refugees, there are already 3 million of them (10% of the country's population). It certainly makes a strong impression on the neighbors.

Bolshevik or half-Bolshevik Hugo Chavez, the predecessor of Maduro, kept in power because he sharply increased social spending. In an era when oil was worth more than $ 100 a barrel, this provided stability and support for the regime by the broad masses of the poor (while maintaining economic growth). Under Maduro, oil prices collapsed, as it happens from time to time. In addition, Maduro continued nationalization: he turned large companies into state ownership (ie, into the ownership of the bureaucratic apparatus of the state) and organized collective farms (state farms) in the village. In addition, he introduced state regulation of prices. All together (typical measures within the framework of the policy of Leninism / Bolshevism) completely destroyed the economy: state-owned companies, which quickly got used to free subsidies from the treasury (from taxpayers' money), were ineffective, The collective farm system naturally led Venezuela to famine (300 state farms produce about 0 products, at least that was a few years ago). In the days of Chavez, oil production fell. And now Venezuela, thanks to the nationalization (nationalization) of the oil industry, produces only about 30% of oil from the volume that was produced before Chávez came to power! The country's economy is dying.

But the experience of Venezuela is interesting for one more reason. Maduro is extremely unpopular. He lost the parliamentary elections, his CAP (United Socialist Party) won about a third of the votes, while the opposition won two thirds. At the same time, the majority of the left-wing government rules the country, despite the millions of protest marches. This regime rests on the violence of the militias, which he armed, as well as on the violence of the police and the army. Now the parliament, in which the majority of the opposition, has proclaimed its leader as the new president. Opposition leader Juan Guaido declared himself president of the country. But Maduro is not going anywhere. I do not know how long he will rule. But his experience has already shown that power can be held for years, despite popular hatred and millions of protests. And this is the second important conclusion that can be made thanks to Venezuela.

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